Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 66.104379 74.808154 83.717514 93.486114 103.863632 114.529099 126.289214
2025-11-02 52.810715 65.288999 78.653044 93.893510 110.663958 128.439466 148.592011
2025-11-09 44.071456 58.459406 74.415000 93.138524 114.249449 137.087280 163.442439
2025-11-16 37.866079 53.605975 71.615972 93.274957 118.191564 145.590429 177.648956
2025-11-23 32.285786 48.812220 68.313409 92.313854 120.434433 151.807722 188.959130
2025-11-30 28.791683 46.154952 67.198649 93.602059 125.000991 160.436311 202.790855
2025-12-07 25.954305 44.019573 66.471354 95.139626 129.683378 169.058580 216.499288
2025-12-14 22.397472 40.598739 63.883068 94.198719 131.251506 173.936727 225.797060
2025-12-21 18.930421 36.954442 60.745718 92.356176 131.554061 177.189381 233.090254
2025-12-28 17.944815 36.689132 61.907778 95.818091 138.220293 187.883194 248.998591
2026-01-04 16.467708 35.565250 61.834325 97.638340 142.825924 196.101222 261.992003
2026-01-11 14.323179 33.232716 59.988239 97.070584 144.401082 200.644507 270.620989
2026-01-18 12.371838 31.024371 58.211983 96.538783 146.007473 205.247089 279.376849
2026-01-25 10.954587 29.527554 57.334351 97.118932 148.961805 211.449555 290.020464
2026-02-01 9.313407 27.453406 55.499072 96.319806 150.092487 215.380087 297.910323
2026-02-08 8.094759 25.966355 54.419682 96.464183 152.369219 220.668105 307.394246
2026-02-15 6.750813 24.053201 52.584108 95.483774 153.131463 224.048074 314.547125
2026-02-22 6.045577 23.285351 52.435428 96.796719 156.837218 231.040878 326.048650
2026-03-01 5.457442 22.676259 52.489080 98.363382 160.855998 238.412662 338.007420
2026-03-08 4.465658 21.028888 50.804537 97.404681 161.509960 241.563809 344.816255
2026-03-15 3.456728 19.105132 48.543526 95.527051 160.878181 243.055365 349.560719
2026-03-22 3.368930 19.434791 50.013147 99.054639 167.453551 253.608349 365.399669
2026-03-29 3.047512 19.103976 50.346363 100.909000 171.782870 261.331526 377.775547